Our War with Russia & Risk of World War III

We are at war and we’ve been at war for several months now. It may not be a declared war, but it’s a war nonetheless. There’s the physical war fought by Ukrainians, who are defending their right to exist as a sovereign nation. Their success on the battlefield would not be possible without our continued support. 

Russia may have threatened the USA & NATO with its nuclear arsenal to keep us out of direct conflict, but make no mistake, we are at war. Ever since the Soviets- er… Russians invaded Ukraine:

  • America is providing funds, materials, and weapons to help Ukraine fight our enemy (Russia).
  • America is waging economic war against Russians, by imposed sanctions. 
  • American weapons are killing Russians. 

Our economic and military support of Ukraine continues to increase as the war drags on and escalates. The USA recently escalated our material support by providing technologically advanced anti-air defense systems.

Keep in mind this is a nation we don’t have an official alliance with, so the aid isn’t being sent there out of the kindness of our heart. Either by economic or political gain, the US government will expect a return on our investment after Ukraine wins the war. Heck, it could be argued that we already are benefitting from the aid sent to Ukraine. From one point of view, Ukraine is a mercenary force the USA is paying and equipping to attack an enemy (Russia).

If any nation imposed crippling sanctions against the USA and supplied money and arms to an enemy we’re actively fighting, we’d be getting ready to fight a war with them. Now I’m just a simple American writer, so what do I know. Anyone possessing the sense God gave a cockroach should realize that powerful Russians see our military and economic support to Ukraine, as acts of war and are pissed. A sensible person should be concerned with how they are preparing for that inevitable conflict and when their counterattack will happen.

As the war in Ukraine drags on and Russia becomes more desperate to turn the tide, possibly with unconventional weapons, I can’t help but think of the interconnected alliances which helped spark World War I. The USA is part of a large military alliance of nations, specifically designed to counter the Soviet Union (now Russia). If any one of our NATO allies is attacked, it will start World War III.

Russia and China have been in an implied military alliance for over two decades. While they have their own agendas, they both share a historic animosity against the USA. If China makes good on its threat to invade Taiwan, it’ll open up a new front for us to deal with and start a global conflict.

And now, the damn North Koreans are escalating tensions in response to the most recent USA-South Korea joint military exercises. North Korea has a famously long history of military cooperation with China and currently has a friendly relationship with Russia. They have a long hatred of the United States and our alliance with South Korea, which stems from our intervention in their almost complete conquest of the south back in 1950.

There are many hot-spots in this Neo-Cold War with the most powerful totalitarian/authoritarian nations on the planet. All those “Presidents”, who hold the power of absolute monarchs, are escalating tensions and all it takes is one fuck-up to spark a hot war. A war we are ill-prepared for because:

  • Most of the world’s attention focused on Ukraine.
  • Most of our NATO allies’ weapon stockpiles are depleted as they support Ukraine.
  • Most of those allies are reluctant or unwilling to spend money and resources to replenish those stocks.
  • Most of those allies won’t be able to lend much support and may even back out of the treaty when called to fulfill their treaty obligations. Turkey in particular is a concern because of its close ties to Russia and animosity with other NATO members and prospective members.

We are at war. It’s a cold, proxy-war which our weapons are killing Russian forces in droves. This war can easily escalate out of control to become an active “hot” war, which will quickly turn into a global conflict as our ideological enemies flex their muscles and strike out against us.

I fear that’s a conflict we will ultimately lose.

***

A Comment Regarding My Support of Ukraine

I recently had an internet troll attack me for showing the Ukraine flag on my Facebook profile pic. This was in response to a post I made to one of the many “prepper” groups. I responded to the bunker-dweller by stating a lot of people show the Ukraine flag because they support the country and their fight against our ideological enemy… if not outright enemy (recall that Russia has hired mercenaries to kill our troops in the past).

I display the Ukraine flag to show my support for the country’s struggle against Russia. But it’s also a symbol that I’m not a Russian sympathizer or a traitor to the USA, our allies, and democracy & free speech.

The troll didn’t have a response and blocked me 😉

Opinion: Nord Stream Probably an “Inside” Job

Most media sources have elaborately described possible scenarios on how the Soviets- er, Russians could have sabotaged the Nord Stream pipeline. Most news sources are amazed at the scale of the attack, and how it was executed without anyone noticing. All media sources I’ve seen focused on how it could have been done externally. The scenarios currently presented involve the use of: a submarine, drones, mines, torpedoes, and even deep-sea divers.

Nobody (yet) has considered how easy it is to sabotage the pipeline internally.

“Inside” Job Explained

It’s easy to destroy these pipelines without anyone noticing… from within.

I’m not talking about sending someone inside the pipe to destroy it James Bond-style. Not only is the internal space less-than 4 feet wide[1], but that’s a claustrophobic journey over 500 miles from the Russian side of the pipeline!

Think of how oil/chemical companies maintain pipelines. I once worked at a major oil company and underwent cross-training to better understand how the company maintains pipelines. According to the training, internal inspection and maintenance is performed by devices commonly called “pigs”. Most pigs are propelled by the flow of product, but self-propelled models have been used for years to maintain stagnant pipes and do detailed investigations[2]. More extensive inspections can be done using self-propelled robotic drones, which come in handy when the pipe is stagnant.

All someone needs to do is attach explosives onto these devices and send them down the pipe on a maintenance run. Pigs and drones have tracking devices built-in to allow operators to monitor them as they move down the pipe. Once they reach the desired location, all it takes is a few key-strokes and…

BOOM!

You sabotaged a pipeline!

Recall that I mentioned the distance was over 500 miles? If the pipeline was pressurized, a pig could make the trip in about a day (depending on flow-speed). Since the pipeline was supposedly shutdown, it would take a self-propelled drone or pig 1 week to reach the sabotaged locations. Maybe 2 weeks given the explosive nature of such a mission.

What if it wasn’t sabotage?

HOW?!

  • How, given the current situation between Russia and the western world?
  • How is it possible for a spontaneous and incredibly localized earthquake to rupture the pipeline at so many locations?
  • How can a maritime accident do the same?
  • How could such leaks happen at different locations, simultaneously (according to most media reports)?

I’d sooner believe that terrorists from Skyrim[3] sabotaged the pipeline. Imagine a bunch of Nords yelling:

“This pipeline BELONGS TO THE NORDS!”

***

I’m just an average guy who paid attention and remembers the training received working at an oil company, so take my “expert opinion” with a grain of kosher Himalayan salt. With all this talk about covert military sabotage, I can’t believe nobody thought to ask anyone who worked in the oil/chemical, or natural gas industry how it could have been done internally.


[1] 4 ft Wide: Offshore Technology. (2022, March 1). Nord Stream 2 Pipeline, Russia and Germany. Retrieved from Offshore Technology: https://www.offshore-technology.com/projects/nord-stream-2-pipeline/

[2] Pressure/Self-Propelled Pig: Since the Nord Stream pipeline hasn’t been in service, The Russians would have needed to use a self-propelled pig. Otherwise, the pipeline would need to be temporarily pressurized for maintenance to allow the flow to transport a pressure-driven version.

[3] Bethesda Game Studios. (2011, November 11). The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim. Bethesda Softworks.

Ukrainian Super-soldier

Snapshot from my neighbor’s Newspaper, the Wall Street Journal 📰 . Seen February 24, 2022

Ukrainians have historically been lauded as the best super-soldiers in modern times and science fiction.

Take a moment to look at this image shot from my neighbor’s paper. I’ll admit that when first I looked, I saw this sexy AF soldier and wanted to be his anything…

However, this man does not look like he’s looking for a date. He looks worried as hell that he may not see tomorrow.

Ponder that as you arm-chair quarterback this war. Or worse, post memes like this description…[1] :

Sexy male tomb raider-style pic with caption: ‘This is me on the frontlines of Ukraine looking for my man’.


[1] Sorry, I spent hours looking for the meme on the 3 gay groups I’m a member of on Facebook. Unfortunately, I think my comment may have scared someone into either removing the post, or the author may have blocked me instead of addressing the issue.

Russia is still the Soviet Union

Photo by Pixabay on Pexels.com

I sometimes refer to Russia as the Soviet Union if the subject of a conversation changes to that country or to regional politics related to Russia. I’ve been asked a couple times why, or if I knew that the Soviet Union collapsed 3 decades ago. In response, I tell the person that I may be more aware of the political situation and history of that country than they are. I then recite an amended version of the duck test:

  1. The military’s field uniforms (not pictured above) haven’t changed much when compared to the former Soviet uniforms.
  2. The national anthem sounds pretty much the same and shares the same melody, but has different wording in some places.
  3. They have a “President” who has been in power for 2 decades (that puppet, Medvedev, doesn’t count).

Think about it:

  • If it looks like a soviet-duck…
  • If it sounds like a soviet-duck…
  • If it acts like a soviet-duck…

That may just be a soviet-duck, comrade.

Most often than not, people find my observation to be a funny (yet accurate) representation of the country and the actions of their leader.